NBA Most Valuable Player: In-Season Odds Shifts, Trends

Bet NBA with William Hill, America’s #1 sportsbook.

We’re less than two months into the 2020-21 NBA season, and already there’s been massive changes for MVP odds at William Hill.

On the opening night of the season, Luka Doncic entered as the +400 favorite with back-to-back award recipient Giannis Antetokounmpo right behind at +500.

Neither of those superstars are atop the board now at William Hill, let alone in the top-3 for lowest MVP odds.

The current favorite is LeBron James at +120. James is aiming for his fifth MVP and his first since the 2012-13 season. He resided at +700 on opening night, only trailing Doncic and Antetokounmpo. James went from +700 to +300 on Jan. 25, then overtook Doncic as the favorite on Jan. 27 when his odds shifted again to +250.

The player with the second-lowest MVP odds opened as a long shot at William Hill. When it was first posted on Nov. 10, 2020, Joel Embiid was tied for the 13th-lowest odds at 40/1 with Kyrie Irving. Embiid remained at that price on opening night, and then gradually saw his odds drop down to 25/1 on Jan. 6. He continued to climb up the list, moving to 12/1 on Jan. 12, +800 on Jan. 23, +500 on Jan. 28 and is now sitting at +350.

Another big man has made a strong surge since the season started: Nikola Jokic. He started this campaign at 20/1 and on the final day of 2020, he was already at 12/1. Jokic swung to +900 on Jan. 11 and went further down to +500 on Jan. 28, which is where he currently sits.

Meanwhile, Doncic has the fourth-lowest odds at +800 and Antetokounmpo is sixth at 10/1, with Kevin Durant in between the two at +900.

But since this NBA season tipped off on Dec. 22, 2020, which players have been the most popular MVP bets at William Hill?

James leads in both total number of tickets (18%) and total dollars wagered (35%) among all in-season MVP wagers at William Hill. Durant is second in total number of tickets at 14%, while Embiid is only behind James in total dollars wagered at 12%. One Nevada bettor placed $5,000 on Embiid +500 for a total potential payout of $30,000, which is the largest 2020-21 NBA MVP taken thus far at William Hill.

Yet, the only other player to have a double-digit percentage besides James in both categories is Jokic. Jokic ranks third in total number of tickets (10%) and total dollars wagered (10%).

There’s been a few notable long-shot MVP wagers that were placed in 2021 as well. A $1,000 bet has come in on Kawhi Leonard 60/1 ($61,000 total potential payout), Jamal Murray 100/1 ($101,000 total potential payout) and Jimmy Butler 150/1 ($151,000 total potential payout).

Check out William Hill’s latest 2020-21 NBA MVP odds and trends below.

TO WIN 2020-21 NBA MVP @WILLIAMHILLUSCURRENT ODDS (2/11/21)
LEBRON JAMES+120
JOEL EMBIID+350
NIKOLA JOKIC +500
LUKA DONCIC +800
KEVIN DURANT +900
GIANNIS ANTETOKOUNMPO +1000
STEPHEN CURRY +1200
DAMIAN LILLARD+3000
KAWHI LEONARD +5000
DONOVAN MITCHELL +5000
TRAE YOUNG+6000
ANTHONY DAVIS+7500
JAMES HARDEN +7500
JAYSON TATUM +7500
PAUL GEORGE +7500
ZION WILLIAMSON+10000
BRADLEY BEAL +10000
DOMANTAS SABONIS +10000
DEVIN BOOKER +10000
JA MORANT+12500

Fall Rewards

This fall William Hill Nevada is giving you the chance to earn cash back with Fall Rewards! Enroll before December 31st, 2022 and you will receive Fall Rewards

Read More »

NOTWITHSTANDING ANYTHING TO THE CONTRARY IN THIS AGREEMENT, WILLIAM HILL MAY TERMINATE THIS AGREEMENT WITH OR WITHOUT NOTICE IF ILLINOIS EXECUTIVE ORDER 2020-41 EXPIRES, IS TERMINATED, ENDED OR WITHDRAWN, OR HELD INVALID.  

Executive Order 2020-41 states in pertinent part that “During the duration of the Gubernatorial Disaster Proclamations, the provisions in the Sports Wagering Act, 230 ILCS 45/25-30(f), 25-35(f), and 25-40(i) requiring in-person creation of a sports wagering account at a facility authorized pursuant to the Act in order to participate in sports wagering offered over the internet or through a mobile application, are suspended.”    

IF YOU DO NOT AGREE WITH THIS AGREEMENT (OR ARE NOT AUTHORIZED TO DO SO) YOU MAY NOT JOIN THE WHAP.