Total Thursdays: Pro Football Week 10 Odds, Trends for Totals

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Overs dominated in Week 9 of the NFL season, as a 9-4-1 mark now puts them at 71-58-4 (55%) overall on the season.

Three NFL Week 10 totals have already shifted by at least three points at William Hill: Texans at Browns (54 to 49), Bills at Cardinals (53.5 to 56.5) and Jaguars at Packers (53 to 50).

With the two totals that have dropped the most so far this week, Mother Nature is the biggest reason why.

“These moves are weather-related,” said Nick Bogdanovich, Director of Trading for William Hill Us. “Green Bay’s supposed to have a bunch of wind, Cleveland a bunch of wind, both look to be nasty. With the brutal wind, that means a lot more running, hard to throw obviously. Wind is the worst when projecting the total, rain and snow doesn’t mean nearly as much. The wind is the key.”

Texans at Browns and Jaguars at Packers are the only NFL Week 10 games as of now to be receiving the majority of the total number of tickets and total dollars wagered on their under. Their respective unders are responsible for two of the more lopsided total dollars wagered thus far, as Jaguars at Packers under is at 95% and Texans at Browns under is at 94%.

Meanwhile, Seahawks at Bills closed as the highest Week 9 total at 55 and now Bills at Cardinals sits as Week 10’s highest total at 56.5. The Bills at Cardinals over is bringing in 69% of the total number of tickets and 88% of the total dollars wagered.

“People are really betting Buffalo overs this season,” Bogdanovich said. “Their defense is horrific right now, and their offense is pretty darn unstoppable. They’re not as blatant as Seattle, but they’re definitely an over team due to that combination.”

Yet, it’s currently the total tied for the lowest on the board at William Hill that holds the status of the most popular over bet for now.

The total for Ravens at Patriots opened at 41 and is now 43.5, matching the total for Vikings at Bears for the lowest in Week 10. The Ravens at Patriots over leads this week’s slate with 88% of the total number of tickets. That over also ranks second with 95% of the total dollars wagered, only behind Buccaneers vs. Panthers (50.5) at 96%.

“After what people saw in the Jets game with the Patriots giving up 27 points to them, they figure that if the Jets can move the ball that Baltimore can too,” Bogdanovich said. “Obviously the total was pretty short as is already, so I’m not surprised by that move.”

Check out William Hill’s latest odds and trends for all available Week 10 totals below.

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