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Of the 11 NFL Week 10 games currently on the board at William Hill, just three of them have lines of a touchdown or higher. Meanwhile, seven contests are at four points or less. With the spreads tighter, there’s been clear splits with some of the spreads this week.
“I’d say the number of public vs. professional games this week is higher than normal,” said Nick Bogdanovich, Director of Trading at William Hill US. “Usually you might get 1, but 3 or 4 is abnormal.
“Seattle is a public underdog, we’re definitely going to need the Rams. Buffalo probably will be one too, we’ll probably need Arizona. The public’s on Miami right now, but the sharps are on the Chargers. I’m interested to see how that game ends up, Miami’s been so good to the people. The sharps are all over Denver, though we’ll probably need Denver for a wheelbarrow-full of money come game time against the Raiders.”
Three Week 10 spreads have one team receiving the majority of the total number of tickets and the other reeling in the majority of the total dollars wagered at William Hill: Eagles -4 (dollars) at Giants (tickets), Broncos (dollars) at Raiders -4 (tickets) and Bills (tickets) at Cardinals (dollars).
As of now, though, there is one Week 10 spread that William Hill bettors are the most aligned on. The Ravens are 7-point road favorites against the Patriots on Sunday night, and Baltimore is obtaining 89% of the total number of tickets and 95% of the total dollars wagered. Those are the highest percentages in each department.
That includes the largest NFL Week 10 spread wager placed thus far at William Hill, as one New Jersey bettor put down $18,000 on Ravens -7.5 (-110) for a total potential payout of $34,363.65.
In fact, only two other spreads are currently getting at least 80% in either category: Browns -3 vs. Texans with 90% of the total dollars wagered and Vikings -2.5 at Bears with 83% of the total dollars wagered.
Yet, there’s one other showdown that could have even greater liability come Sunday.
“I would say our biggest decision will probably be New Orleans-San Francisco,” Bogdanovich said. “New Orleans is coming off one of the more impressive performances this season against Tampa, and San Francisco is a train wreck. That one is a late afternoon game, and the Saints will have a zillion teasers on them.”
The Saints are 9.5-point chalk in New Orleans against the 49ers, with only Packers -13.5 vs. the Jaguars serving as a bigger spread this week. New Orleans is currently capturing 74% of the total number of tickets and 69% of the total dollars wagered for all spread bets vs. San Francisco.
Check out William Hill’s latest odds and trends for all available NFL Week 10 spreads below.