Pro Baseball Futures: Tatis Jr, deGrom See Shifts in NL MVP Odds

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Fernando Tatis Jr. captured the sports world’s attention this past weekend, as his five home runs keyed the Padres taking three of four games against the Dodgers in Los Angeles.

As a result, San Diego’s superstar shortstop currently has +600 NL MVP odds at William Hill Nevada, only trailing Ronald Acuna Jr. at +350 and Mookie Betts at +500.

“We lose pretty good with Tatis,” said Nick Bogdanovich, Director of Trading at William Hill US. “We were as high as 200/1 on him. Tatis has a couple more tickets than [Dodgers shortstop Corey] Seager, and they’ve got way more tickets than anyone else. But he still has to stay healthy, he has to continue to produce and his team has to remain relevant, and obviously it’s still a long way to go.”

Tatis Jr. had the fourth-lowest odds on Opening Day, as he was behind Betts (+600), Acuna Jr. (+700) and Juan Soto (+700) on April 1. After suffering a shoulder injury on April 6, his odds jumped up all the way to 200/1.

He returned to action on April 16, and was then displayed at 50/1. Three days later, he dropped to 40/1 and that was his price until this past Friday night. Then he hit two homers off Clayton Kershaw and fell to 20/1 on April 24. Another two big flies on Saturday, this time off Trevor Bauer, meant another drop to 10/1 on April 25 before settling at his current price of +600 today.

Besides Tatis Jr. one other player’s NL MVP odds saw a significant shift the past few days as well.

“We took some money on [Mets pitcher Jacob] deGrom over the weekend,” Bogdanovich said. “We opened him at 50/1 and then went down to 25/1. The money was at 15/1, and I’d say that is definitely a live ticket. Just look at deGrom’s numbers this season, they’re utterly insane.”

The Mets ace was at 25/1 until his 15-strikeout shutout against the Nationals this past Friday, and then he swung down to 15/1. A Nevada bettor placed $4,000 on deGrom at 15/1 for a total potential payout of $64,000, which is the largest NL MVP wager taken thus far at William Hill. He’s now tied for the fourth-lowest MVP odds at +800 with Soto.

In terms of who is drawing the most action as of now, Tatis Jr. and Seager (20/1) lead the way at 14% apiece. For total dollars wagered, four players have attracted a double-digit percentage: Seager (24%), deGrom (17%), Tatis Jr. (16%) and Acuna Jr. (10%).

Check out William Hill’s latest NL MVP trends below.

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