2021 College Football Playoff: Odds, Trends for Semifinals

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College football is about to take center stage on New Year’s Day, as the four best teams in the country will look to advance one step closer to a national championship tomorrow.

No. 1 Alabama and No. 4 Notre Dame will spar at the Rose Bowl at 4 p.m. ET/1 p.m. PT, followed by a College Football Playoff semifinals rematch between No. 2 Clemson and No. 3 Ohio State at the Sugar Bowl at 8 p.m. ET/5 p.m. PT.

“Alabama and Clemson have separated themselves from the pack,” said Nick Bogdanovich, Director of Trading for William Hill US. “Until another team like an Ohio State or Notre Dame steps up, the masses will be betting on Alabama and Clemson in the semis every year. We’re likely going to need both favorites to win and not cover.”

Alabama is currently a 20-point favorite over Notre Dame at William Hill, the biggest spread in CFP history. The Crimson Tide are -1100 on the moneyline, while the Irish are +700 to notch the upset.

Even with the historic spread and moneyline, William Hill bettors are still rolling with the favorite so far. Alabama has attracted 62% of the total number of tickets and 68% of the total dollars wagered among all spread bets vs. Notre Dame. Additionally, the Crimson Tide are generating 78% of the total number of tickets and 81% of the total dollars wagered for all moneyline bets.

That is highlighted by one Nevada bettor placing a $17,500 wager on Alabama -20 (-110) for a total potential of $33,409.10, which is the largest 2021 CFP semifinal bet taken thus far at William Hill.

William Hill bettors are also aligned on the total for the Rose Bowl.

“We opened at 66 and it’s still there, but all the money is on the over, straight and parlay,” Bogdanovich said. “Like any Alabama game, it’s only going to go up unless the professionals have a monster play on the under.”

The over for Alabama vs. Notre Dame has brought in 82% of the total number of tickets and 89% of the total dollars wagered.

In the nightcap, Clemson is a 7.5-point favorite (-300 ML), with Ohio State’s moneyline listed at +250 and the total at 66. It was announced yesterday that Clemson’s offensive coordinator Tony Elliott will miss this affair after testing positive for COVID-19, however the spread didn’t shift from the news.

“I don’t think [Elliott] being out will make that much of a difference honestly,” Bogdanovich said. “Everyone on their coaching staff is highly qualified, and they’ll be well-prepared. Right now we’re high on Clemson minus the points, high on Clemson parlays, but a little high on Ohio State on the moneyline.”

Clemson has captured 80% of the total number of tickets and 79% of the total dollars wagered for all spread bets vs. Ohio State, as well as 76% of the total number of tickets and 62% of the total dollars wagered on all moneyline bets.

A whopping 96% of the total dollars wagered is on over 66 for the Sugar Bowl, while 82% of the total number of tickets are on that same side too.

Check out William Hill’s latest odds and trends for tomorrow’s College Football Playoff semifinals below.

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